END ZONE NERDS
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Understanding How End Zone Nerds Works

A Popular Question We get is Whether we will put Individuals in First Place on Contests. The answer to that question is... "Unlikely!" Unless it’s a Entry With Limited Contestants, Then It Does Become Significantly More Possible. However Even If A Person had The Playbook, There is Still A Good Chance They Would Not Come In First Place. There is Too Many Factors and Potential Outcomes in Fantasy Football to Have The “Winning Position.”
We Don’t Make Assumptions on What Players will do well, and We Don’t Believe it’s possible to Know the Complete Outcome of any Game. This is Simply Not How We Operate. In Order To Take a Profit in Fantasy Football whether Big or Small, it starts with understanding Prize Pools and Contests. The Higher The Entry Cost, and The Less Individuals in The Contest Creates A More Difficult Potential Outcome. These Players Understand The Risk, and Are Typically Seasoned Fantasy Players Against Other Seasoned Fantasy Players. However in a Larger Contest With Thousands of Players, It Creates the Ability to Take Advantage of New and or “Non-Seasoned” Players. With That in Mind, You also have to consider how many of those Players Don’t do Research and or Don’t understand The Dynamic Possibilities of The Game. With A Set Salary Cap On Entries, we Found A Majority of Players Would Pick the “Big Names” or the Most Popular Players and Fill in the remaining Line Up or Roster with Whatever or Whomever Their Remaining Salary Cap Would Allow. This Could Potentially get You A Profit, but your chances aren’t much better than most other people. That is Not to say we Depend on Rookies Entries to Win in Fantasy Football. In fact it's a very Minor Aspect when you consider all the things we do take into Consideration To rank High In Entries. However Statistaclly We Profit More Often In large Player Pools. A small number of other things we consider are as follows...
The Entry Cost - The Amount of People In The Contest - Contest Salary Cap - Player Pool - Defensive Record - Offensive Record- Player Injuries - Back up Players - Home Field Advantage - Team “Meet-Up” History - Idividual Player Statistics - Idividual Player History

How Accurate Is End Zone Nerds?

In the 2022-23 Season We Put in Several Head 2 Head Entries For the Majority of The Games. These are Contests With Only Two Contestants. Typically These Contests are Usually Seasoned Players, Individuals with Many years Of Experience. By the End of The Season We Estimated We Won 68% of Those Contests, Which Is Down 2% from the Previous Year. This is Due to the fact we did most of Our Entries on FanDuel and Defenses Had been put in as an Option. They weren't an Option the Year Prior, So it took us Time to Adjust. In Large Contests With Thousands of Players, We Estimated we Profited 77% of the Time.
Head to Head Entries
68%
Small Player pool Entries
72%
Large Player Pool Entries
77%
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